Estimating the Euro Area Output Gap Using Multivariate Information and Addressing the COVID-19 Pandemic

نویسندگان

چکیده

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Measuring the Euro Area Output Gap using Multivariate Unobserved Components Models Containing Phase Shifts

This paper analyses the impact of using different macroeconomic variables and output decompositions to estimate the euro area output gap. We estimate twelve multivariate unobserved components models with phase shifts being allowed between individual cyclical components. As output decomposition plays a central role in all multivariate models, three different output decompositions are utilised; t...

متن کامل

Measuring the Euro Area Output Gap using a Multivariate Unobserved Components Model Containing Phase Shifts

Several recent studies have used multivariate unobserved components models to identify the output gap and the NAIRU. A key assumption of these models is that one common cycle component, such as the output gap, drives the cyclical fluctuations in all variables included in the model. This paper also uses the multivariate approach to estimate the euro area output gap and the trends and cycles in o...

متن کامل

Data, information, and knowledge amidst the COVID-19 pandemic

Converting data into information, knowledge, and then wisdom is the most onerous part of science, especially biological sciences. More attention must be paid to the difficulty inherent in this process amid the emergence and the spread of a novel virus, since neglecting the distinction between these epistemic categories can lead to incomplete and even incorrect identification of the causes and t...

متن کامل

Modeling and analysis of the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic using the classical SIR model

In this paper modeling, analysis and prediction of novel epidemic of COVID-19 are concerned to identify effective spread parameters of it in Iran. For this purpose, the basic susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model is used which has two parameters: the infection rate and remove rate. The occurrence of several maximum points in the Iranian data and the single peak of the SIR model makes it impo...

متن کامل

Health Inequalities during the COVID-19 Pandemic

Pandemics are associated with significant and destructive national and global impacts on health, economy, society, and security. COVID-19 pandemic has imposed adverse economic consequences on the whole population. This is while the elderly and those with comorbidities, the economically disadvantaged and ethnic minorities were at increased risk of viral infection. Moreover, the mortality rate an...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Social Science Research Network

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1556-5068']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4197579